Miami Heat 122, Houston Rockets 123
NBA · 2026-03-21 · Winner: Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets defeated Miami Heat 123–122 on 2026-03-21 in NBA play, a 1-point result. A 15-0 home team run ending at Q4 6:49 swung win probability 3% → 83%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Miami Heat lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 29 | 34 | 33 | 26 | 122 |
| Houston Rockets | 32 | 32 | 23 | 36 | 123 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 home team run ending at Q4 6:49 swung win probability 3% → 83%.
Why Miami Heat lost
- Lost Q4 26-36 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q4 6:49 (win probability 3% → 83% for the home side).
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 12–0 | Q1 8:29 | 81% → 44% |
| Miami Heat | 11–0 | Q1 5:18 | 55% → 19% |
| Houston Rockets | 9–0 | Q1 0:00 | 36% → 68% |
| Miami Heat | 10–0 | Q4 11:41 | 48% → 4% |
| Houston Rockets | 15–0 | Q4 6:49 | 3% → 83% |