Toronto Raptors 115, Denver Nuggets 121
NBA · 2026-03-20 · Winner: Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets defeated Toronto Raptors 121–115 on 2026-03-20 in NBA play, a 6-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 5:03 swung win probability 30% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Toronto Raptors lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors | 30 | 23 | 41 | 21 | 115 |
| Denver Nuggets | 27 | 30 | 28 | 36 | 121 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 5:03 swung win probability 30% → 95%.
Why Toronto Raptors lost
- Lost Q4 21-36 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 1:25 (win probability 35% → 77% for the home side).
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors | 11–0 | Q1 8:36 | 65% → 28% |
| Denver Nuggets | 10–0 | Q2 1:25 | 35% → 77% |
| Toronto Raptors | 8–0 | Q3 5:53 | 45% → 11% |
| Denver Nuggets | 8–0 | Q4 10:28 | 8% → 47% |
| Denver Nuggets | 9–0 | Q4 5:03 | 30% → 95% |