Dallas Mavericks 111, New Orleans Pelicans 129
NBA · 2026-03-16 · Winner: New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans defeated Dallas Mavericks 129–111 on 2026-03-16 in NBA play, a 18-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:12 swung win probability 24% → 68%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Dallas Mavericks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Mavericks | 26 | 28 | 32 | 25 | 111 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 32 | 35 | 36 | 26 | 129 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:12 swung win probability 24% → 68%.
Why Dallas Mavericks lost
- Lost Q2 28-35 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q1 2:12 (win probability 24% → 68% for the home side).
- Outscored 22-9 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Mavericks | 8–0 | Q1 7:21 | 68% → 40% |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 13–0 | Q1 2:12 | 24% → 68% |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 9–0 | Q2 4:50 | 84% → 98% |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 8–0 | Q3 8:07 | 92% → 99% |