Milwaukee Bucks 105, Miami Heat 112
NBA · 2026-03-12 · Winner: Miami Heat
Miami Heat defeated Milwaukee Bucks 112–105 on 2026-03-12 in NBA play, a 7-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at Q3 11:13 swung win probability 56% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Milwaukee Bucks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Bucks | 21 | 30 | 26 | 28 | 105 |
| Miami Heat | 31 | 28 | 26 | 27 | 112 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at Q3 11:13 swung win probability 56% → 96%.
Why Milwaukee Bucks lost
- Lost Q1 21-31 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q3 11:13 (win probability 56% → 96% for the home side).
- Outscored 22-14 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-3.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 12–0 | Q1 6:03 | 65% → 93% |
| Miami Heat | 13–0 | Q3 11:13 | 56% → 96% |