Denver Nuggets 126, Oklahoma City Thunder 129
NBA · 2026-03-09 · Winner: Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder defeated Denver Nuggets 129–126 on 2026-03-09 in NBA play, a 3-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q3 6:30 swung win probability 91% → 44%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Denver Nuggets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets | 40 | 20 | 33 | 33 | 126 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 37 | 29 | 30 | 33 | 129 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q3 6:30 swung win probability 91% → 44%.
Why Denver Nuggets lost
- Lost Q2 20-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 5:02 (win probability 53% → 89% for the home side).
- Shot 53.6% eFG vs a 57.7% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 8-3.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets | 12–0 | Q1 7:07 | 55% → 17% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 10–0 | Q1 1:07 | 26% → 61% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 11–0 | Q2 5:02 | 53% → 89% |
| Denver Nuggets | 10–0 | Q2 1:33 | 93% → 65% |
| Denver Nuggets | 12–0 | Q3 6:30 | 91% → 44% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 8–0 | Q3 1:29 | 43% → 85% |