New York Knicks 111, Toronto Raptors 95
NBA · 2026-03-03 · Winner: New York Knicks
New York Knicks defeated Toronto Raptors 111–95 on 2026-03-03 in NBA play, a 16-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 1:53 swung win probability 33% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Toronto Raptors lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Knicks | 32 | 36 | 19 | 24 | 111 |
| Toronto Raptors | 31 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 95 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 1:53 swung win probability 33% → 0%.
Why Toronto Raptors lost
- Lost Q4 13-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 1:53 (win probability 33% → 0% for the home side).
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Knicks | 8–0 | Q2 10:48 | 64% → 34% |
| Toronto Raptors | 8–0 | Q3 0:58 | 8% → 41% |
| New York Knicks | 9–0 | Q4 1:53 | 33% → 0% |