Houston Rockets 105, Miami Heat 115
NBA · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Miami Heat
Miami Heat defeated Houston Rockets 115–105 on 2026-02-28 in NBA play, a 10-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 1:18 swung win probability 43% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Houston Rockets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Rockets | 28 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 105 |
| Miami Heat | 32 | 19 | 34 | 30 | 115 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 1:18 swung win probability 43% → 86%.
Why Houston Rockets lost
- Lost Q4 22-30 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 0:09 (win probability 42% → 78% for the home side).
- Shot 47.9% eFG vs a 54.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Rockets | 11–0 | Q1 9:05 | 65% → 28% |
| Miami Heat | 8–0 | Q1 6:52 | 25% → 51% |
| Miami Heat | 10–0 | Q1 0:09 | 42% → 78% |
| Miami Heat | 9–0 | Q2 8:33 | 71% → 93% |
| Houston Rockets | 10–0 | Q3 7:27 | 87% → 45% |
| Miami Heat | 8–0 | Q3 1:18 | 43% → 86% |
| Miami Heat | 9–0 | Q4 0:37 | 87% → 100% |