Miami Heat 117, Milwaukee Bucks 128
NBA · 2026-02-24 · Winner: Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks defeated Miami Heat 128–117 on 2026-02-24 in NBA play, a 11-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 1:18 swung win probability 29% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Miami Heat lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 29 | 29 | 35 | 24 | 117 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 30 | 33 | 26 | 39 | 128 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 1:18 swung win probability 29% → 100%.
Why Miami Heat lost
- Lost Q4 24-39 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 1:18 (win probability 29% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 16-11.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 8–0 | Q2 4:31 | 84% → 56% |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 8–0 | Q3 7:56 | 40% → 78% |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 9–0 | Q4 8:50 | 8% → 61% |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 10–0 | Q4 1:18 | 29% → 100% |