Chicago Bulls 125, Miami Heat 118
NBA · 2026-01-31 · Winner: Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls defeated Miami Heat 125–118 on 2026-01-31 in NBA play, a 7-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:11 swung win probability 51% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Miami Heat lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bulls | 31 | 25 | 35 | 34 | 125 |
| Miami Heat | 25 | 38 | 21 | 34 | 118 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:11 swung win probability 51% → 0%.
Why Miami Heat lost
- Lost Q3 21-35 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q1 7:33 (win probability 68% → 28% for the home side).
- Shot 50.0% eFG vs a 54.2% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bulls | 12–0 | Q1 7:33 | 68% → 28% |
| Miami Heat | 8–0 | Q2 8:53 | 24% → 53% |
| Miami Heat | 8–0 | Q2 3:21 | 61% → 88% |
| Chicago Bulls | 10–0 | Q3 9:04 | 93% → 60% |
| Chicago Bulls | 9–0 | Q4 0:11 | 51% → 0% |