Toronto Raptors 120, Orlando Magic 130
NBA · 2026-01-30 · Winner: Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic defeated Toronto Raptors 130–120 on 2026-01-30 in NBA play, a 10-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:07 swung win probability 79% → 43%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Toronto Raptors lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors | 28 | 29 | 42 | 21 | 120 |
| Orlando Magic | 29 | 21 | 36 | 44 | 130 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:07 swung win probability 79% → 43%.
Why Toronto Raptors lost
- Lost Q4 21-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 8:39 (win probability 1% → 24% for the home side).
- Outscored 33-25 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors | 8–0 | Q1 5:40 | 76% → 51% |
| Orlando Magic | 8–0 | Q2 6:31 | 53% → 82% |
| Toronto Raptors | 9–0 | Q2 3:07 | 79% → 43% |
| Toronto Raptors | 8–0 | Q3 0:24 | 20% → 1% |
| Orlando Magic | 9–0 | Q4 8:39 | 1% → 24% |
| Orlando Magic | 9–0 | Q4 2:24 | 82% → 100% |