Charlotte Hornets 123, Dallas Mavericks 121
NBA · 2026-01-29 · Winner: Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets defeated Dallas Mavericks 123–121 on 2026-01-29 in NBA play, a 2-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 11:36 swung win probability 21% → 73%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Dallas Mavericks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Hornets | 33 | 26 | 34 | 30 | 123 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 20 | 38 | 35 | 28 | 121 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 11:36 swung win probability 21% → 73%.
Why Dallas Mavericks lost
- Lost Q1 20-33 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q3 7:55 (win probability 40% → 10% for the home side).
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Mavericks | 8–0 | Q2 10:23 | 10% → 30% |
| Charlotte Hornets | 8–0 | Q3 7:55 | 40% → 10% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 9–0 | Q4 11:36 | 21% → 73% |