Dallas Mavericks 99, Milwaukee Bucks 123
NBA · 2026-03-31 · Winner: Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks defeated Dallas Mavericks 123–99 on 2026-03-31 in NBA play, a 24-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 7:01 swung win probability 55% → 82%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Dallas Mavericks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Mavericks | 31 | 20 | 19 | 29 | 99 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 38 | 27 | 25 | 33 | 123 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 7:01 swung win probability 55% → 82%.
Why Dallas Mavericks lost
- Lost Q1 31-38 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 6:26 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 40.6% eFG vs a 52.7% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Bucks | 9–0 | Q1 7:01 | 55% → 82% |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 9–0 | Q2 9:28 | 75% → 94% |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 9–0 | Q3 6:15 | 98% → 100% |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 10–0 | Q4 6:26 | 100% → 100% |