Denver Nuggets 118, Memphis Grizzlies 125
NBA · 2026-03-18 · Winner: Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies defeated Denver Nuggets 125–118 on 2026-03-18 in NBA play, a 7-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:20 swung win probability 66% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Denver Nuggets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets | 30 | 30 | 31 | 27 | 118 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 31 | 29 | 39 | 26 | 125 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:20 swung win probability 66% → 95%.
Why Denver Nuggets lost
- Lost Q3 31-39 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 3:51 (win probability 71% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 19-10.
- Outscored 25-17 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-7.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Grizzlies | 8–0 | Q3 8:20 | 65% → 92% |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 8–0 | Q3 2:20 | 66% → 95% |
| Denver Nuggets | 8–0 | Q4 5:45 | 98% → 71% |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 9–0 | Q4 3:51 | 71% → 100% |