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Golden State Warriors 115, Dallas Mavericks 123

NBA · 2026-01-22 · Winner: Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks defeated Golden State Warriors 123–115 on 2026-01-22 in NBA play, a 8-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:50 swung win probability 11% → 76%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Golden State Warriors lost.

Linescore

Q1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors27233926115
Dallas Mavericks24312939123

Win probability

Dallas Mavericks win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (Dallas Mavericks) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:50 swung win probability 11% → 76%.
Why Golden State Warriors lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
Golden State Warriors8–0Q1 3:3877% → 50%
Dallas Mavericks12–0Q2 1:1431% → 80%
Golden State Warriors8–0Q3 10:0977% → 41%
Golden State Warriors8–0Q3 1:4481% → 36%
Dallas Mavericks10–0Q4 7:5011% → 76%
Dallas Mavericks11–0Q4 4:5062% → 100%

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