Milwaukee Bucks 104, Denver Nuggets 108
NBA · 2026-01-11 · Winner: Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets defeated Milwaukee Bucks 108–104 on 2026-01-11 in NBA play, a 4-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 3:20 swung win probability 44% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Milwaukee Bucks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Bucks | 23 | 29 | 22 | 30 | 104 |
| Denver Nuggets | 27 | 35 | 23 | 23 | 108 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 3:20 swung win probability 44% → 90%.
Why Milwaukee Bucks lost
- Lost Q2 29-35 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q2 2:52 (win probability 61% → 97% for the home side).
- Outscored 24-14 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Bucks | 11–0 | Q1 7:43 | 74% → 37% |
| Denver Nuggets | 11–0 | Q1 1:58 | 33% → 71% |
| Denver Nuggets | 14–0 | Q2 2:52 | 61% → 97% |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 9–0 | Q3 8:56 | 91% → 60% |
| Denver Nuggets | 10–0 | Q3 3:20 | 44% → 90% |