Miami Heat 112, Oklahoma City Thunder 124
NBA · 2026-01-11 · Winner: Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder defeated Miami Heat 124–112 on 2026-01-11 in NBA play, a 12-point result. A 15-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:41 swung win probability 44% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Miami Heat lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 34 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 112 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 32 | 22 | 39 | 31 | 124 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:41 swung win probability 44% → 98%.
Why Miami Heat lost
- Lost Q3 26-39 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q3 2:41 (win probability 44% → 98% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 23-13.
- Outscored 20-7 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 8–0 | Q1 9:50 | 65% → 38% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 9–0 | Q1 1:43 | 26% → 57% |
| Miami Heat | 9–0 | Q2 10:32 | 68% → 34% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 8–0 | Q2 6:35 | 29% → 61% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 9–0 | Q3 7:38 | 19% → 60% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 15–0 | Q3 2:41 | 44% → 98% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 8–0 | Q4 6:28 | 99% → 100% |