Miami Heat 99, Indiana Pacers 123
NBA · 2026-01-10 · Winner: Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers defeated Miami Heat 123–99 on 2026-01-10 in NBA play, a 24-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q3 9:39 swung win probability 99% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Miami Heat lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 18 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 99 |
| Indiana Pacers | 36 | 25 | 38 | 24 | 123 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q3 9:39 swung win probability 99% → 84%.
Why Miami Heat lost
- Lost Q1 18-36 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q3 4:49 (win probability 89% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 41.3% eFG vs a 54.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers | 9–0 | Q1 4:09 | 84% → 97% |
| Indiana Pacers | 8–0 | Q1 1:59 | 95% → 99% |
| Miami Heat | 12–0 | Q3 9:39 | 99% → 84% |
| Indiana Pacers | 11–0 | Q3 4:49 | 89% → 100% |
| Indiana Pacers | 10–0 | Q3 2:29 | 100% → 100% |