Toronto Raptors 97, Charlotte Hornets 96
NBA · 2026-01-07 · Winner: Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors defeated Charlotte Hornets 97–96 on 2026-01-07 in NBA play, a 1-point result. A 13-0 road team run ending at Q1 4:50 swung win probability 82% → 40%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Charlotte Hornets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors | 25 | 20 | 21 | 31 | 97 |
| Charlotte Hornets | 22 | 28 | 22 | 24 | 96 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 road team run ending at Q1 4:50 swung win probability 82% → 40%.
Why Charlotte Hornets lost
- Lost Q4 24-31 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q1 4:50 (win probability 82% → 40% for the home side).
- Shot 47.6% eFG vs a 55.2% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 18-6.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Hornets | 9–0 | Q1 9:41 | 58% → 83% |
| Toronto Raptors | 13–0 | Q1 4:50 | 82% → 40% |
| Charlotte Hornets | 11–0 | Q2 5:32 | 57% → 91% |
| Toronto Raptors | 11–0 | Q2 0:46 | 92% → 56% |
| Charlotte Hornets | 8–0 | Q3 10:49 | 56% → 87% |
| Toronto Raptors | 9–0 | Q4 7:22 | 97% → 62% |