New Orleans Pelicans 106, Miami Heat 125
NBA · 2026-01-04 · Winner: Miami Heat
Miami Heat defeated New Orleans Pelicans 125–106 on 2026-01-04 in NBA play, a 19-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 9:29 swung win probability 60% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why New Orleans Pelicans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Pelicans | 39 | 23 | 15 | 29 | 106 |
| Miami Heat | 43 | 27 | 23 | 32 | 125 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 9:29 swung win probability 60% → 90%.
Why New Orleans Pelicans lost
- Lost Q3 15-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q3 4:14 (win probability 85% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 26-16.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 9–0 | Q1 6:00 | 54% → 82% |
| Miami Heat | 8–0 | Q3 9:29 | 60% → 90% |
| Miami Heat | 13–0 | Q3 4:14 | 85% → 100% |