Houston Rockets 104, Dallas Mavericks 110
NBA · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks defeated Houston Rockets 110–104 on 2026-01-03 in NBA play, a 6-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 9:07 swung win probability 28% → 72%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Houston Rockets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Rockets | 31 | 19 | 25 | 29 | 104 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 25 | 32 | 30 | 23 | 110 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 9:07 swung win probability 28% → 72%.
Why Houston Rockets lost
- Lost Q2 19-32 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 9:07 (win probability 28% → 72% for the home side).
- Shot 43.4% eFG vs a 54.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Mavericks | 10–0 | Q1 3:03 | 27% → 61% |
| Houston Rockets | 9–0 | Q1 0:30 | 61% → 28% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 12–0 | Q2 9:07 | 28% → 72% |
| Houston Rockets | 9–0 | Q2 3:14 | 82% → 47% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 9–0 | Q3 4:43 | 55% → 92% |
| Houston Rockets | 8–0 | Q4 6:56 | 100% → 98% |