Minnesota Timberwolves 125, Miami Heat 115
NBA · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves defeated Miami Heat 125–115 on 2026-01-03 in NBA play, a 10-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q1 6:39 swung win probability 68% → 27%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Miami Heat lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 27 | 29 | 34 | 35 | 125 |
| Miami Heat | 25 | 25 | 36 | 29 | 115 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q1 6:39 swung win probability 68% → 27%.
Why Miami Heat lost
- Lost Q4 29-35 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q1 6:39 (win probability 68% → 27% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 19-14.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 12–0 | Q1 6:39 | 68% → 27% |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 8–0 | Q2 4:41 | 48% → 18% |
| Miami Heat | 8–0 | Q2 2:43 | 18% → 47% |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 10–0 | Q4 7:28 | 5% → 0% |
| Miami Heat | 8–0 | Q4 3:02 | 0% → 0% |