Miami Heat 118, Detroit Pistons 112
NBA · 2026-01-01 · Winner: Miami Heat
Miami Heat defeated Detroit Pistons 118–112 on 2026-01-01 in NBA play, a 6-point result. A 14-0 road team run ending at Q1 1:16 swung win probability 74% → 25%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Detroit Pistons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 33 | 30 | 31 | 24 | 118 |
| Detroit Pistons | 26 | 28 | 27 | 31 | 112 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 road team run ending at Q1 1:16 swung win probability 74% → 25%.
Why Detroit Pistons lost
- Lost Q1 26-33 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q3 7:06 (win probability 24% → 0% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 14–0 | Q1 1:16 | 74% → 25% |
| Detroit Pistons | 9–0 | Q2 4:51 | 26% → 61% |
| Miami Heat | 15–0 | Q3 7:06 | 24% → 0% |
| Detroit Pistons | 8–0 | Q3 2:41 | 0% → 2% |
| Detroit Pistons | 9–0 | Q4 0:46 | 0% → 6% |