Dallas Mavericks 122, Portland Trail Blazers 125
NBA · 2025-12-29 · Winner: Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers defeated Dallas Mavericks 125–122 on 2025-12-29 in NBA play, a 3-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q4 10:35 swung win probability 97% → 61%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Dallas Mavericks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Mavericks | 29 | 34 | 30 | 29 | 122 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 42 | 33 | 22 | 28 | 125 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q4 10:35 swung win probability 97% → 61%.
Why Dallas Mavericks lost
- Lost Q1 29-42 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q1 6:38 (win probability 55% → 86% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-8.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Trail Blazers | 11–0 | Q1 6:38 | 55% → 86% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 8–0 | Q2 3:45 | 98% → 87% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 8–0 | Q3 10:32 | 98% → 87% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 10–0 | Q4 10:35 | 97% → 61% |