Denver Nuggets 123, Miami Heat 147
NBA · 2025-12-29 · Winner: Miami Heat
Miami Heat defeated Denver Nuggets 147–123 on 2025-12-29 in NBA play, a 24-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:38 swung win probability 64% → 92%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Denver Nuggets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets | 29 | 34 | 36 | 24 | 123 |
| Miami Heat | 41 | 22 | 47 | 37 | 147 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:38 swung win probability 64% → 92%.
Why Denver Nuggets lost
- Lost Q4 24-37 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q1 1:38 (win probability 64% → 92% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 11–0 | Q1 1:38 | 64% → 92% |
| Denver Nuggets | 12–0 | Q2 3:19 | 96% → 69% |
| Miami Heat | 11–0 | Q3 8:07 | 74% → 98% |
| Miami Heat | 8–0 | Q4 10:10 | 98% → 100% |