Golden State Warriors 127, Toronto Raptors 141
NBA · 2025-12-28 · Winner: Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors defeated Golden State Warriors 141–127 on 2025-12-28 in NBA play, a 14-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at OT 3:04 swung win probability 32% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Golden State Warriors lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors | 29 | 35 | 36 | 22 | 5 | 127 |
| Toronto Raptors | 33 | 32 | 31 | 26 | 19 | 141 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at OT 3:04 swung win probability 32% → 100%.
Why Golden State Warriors lost
- Lost Q5 5-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at OT 3:04 (win probability 32% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 21-15.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors | 9–0 | Q1 4:56 | 48% → 76% |
| Toronto Raptors | 9–0 | Q1 1:32 | 61% → 86% |
| Golden State Warriors | 13–0 | Q2 5:04 | 80% → 33% |
| Golden State Warriors | 10–0 | Q3 7:42 | 47% → 10% |
| Toronto Raptors | 8–0 | Q3 0:12 | 6% → 33% |
| Toronto Raptors | 12–0 | OT 3:04 | 32% → 100% |