Milwaukee Bucks 104, Memphis Grizzlies 125
NBA · 2025-12-26 · Winner: Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies defeated Milwaukee Bucks 125–104 on 2025-12-26 in NBA play, a 21-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 3:58 swung win probability 48% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Milwaukee Bucks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Bucks | 35 | 15 | 33 | 21 | 104 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 25 | 35 | 32 | 33 | 125 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 3:58 swung win probability 48% → 90%.
Why Milwaukee Bucks lost
- Lost Q2 15-35 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 3:58 (win probability 48% → 90% for the home side).
- Shot 51.2% eFG vs a 56.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 22-14.
- Outscored 26-18 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Bucks | 8–0 | Q1 0:00 | 50% → 21% |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 12–0 | Q2 3:58 | 48% → 90% |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 9–0 | Q3 7:27 | 82% → 98% |