Miami Heat 126, Atlanta Hawks 111
NBA · 2025-12-26 · Winner: Miami Heat
Miami Heat defeated Atlanta Hawks 126–111 on 2025-12-26 in NBA play, a 15-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q2 1:06 swung win probability 47% → 7%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Atlanta Hawks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 32 | 31 | 27 | 36 | 126 |
| Atlanta Hawks | 32 | 19 | 33 | 27 | 111 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q2 1:06 swung win probability 47% → 7%.
Why Atlanta Hawks lost
- Lost Q2 19-31 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 1:06 (win probability 47% → 7% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 21-12.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Hawks | 8–0 | Q1 7:17 | 34% → 61% |
| Miami Heat | 10–0 | Q1 4:31 | 61% → 26% |
| Atlanta Hawks | 9–0 | Q1 2:40 | 26% → 57% |
| Miami Heat | 12–0 | Q2 1:06 | 47% → 7% |
| Miami Heat | 8–0 | Q4 9:06 | 12% → 0% |
| Miami Heat | 9–0 | Q4 5:43 | 4% → 0% |