Denver Nuggets 130, Dallas Mavericks 131
NBA · 2025-12-23 · Winner: Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks defeated Denver Nuggets 131–130 on 2025-12-23 in NBA play, a 1-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 11:21 swung win probability 82% → 33%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Denver Nuggets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets | 27 | 29 | 47 | 27 | 130 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 41 | 25 | 37 | 28 | 131 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 11:21 swung win probability 82% → 33%.
Why Denver Nuggets lost
- Lost Q1 27-41 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q3 4:35 (win probability 55% → 99% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 15-11.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Mavericks | 12–0 | Q1 8:09 | 58% → 89% |
| Denver Nuggets | 11–0 | Q1 1:56 | 97% → 80% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 10–0 | Q2 11:25 | 77% → 96% |
| Denver Nuggets | 9–0 | Q3 7:47 | 90% → 55% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 15–0 | Q3 4:35 | 55% → 99% |
| Denver Nuggets | 8–0 | Q4 11:21 | 82% → 33% |