Toronto Raptors 112, Miami Heat 91
NBA · 2025-12-23 · Winner: Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors defeated Miami Heat 112–91 on 2025-12-23 in NBA play, a 21-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q1 7:18 swung win probability 48% → 17%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Miami Heat lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors | 21 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 112 |
| Miami Heat | 16 | 28 | 23 | 24 | 91 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q1 7:18 swung win probability 48% → 17%.
Why Miami Heat lost
- Lost Q3 23-31 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 7:18 (win probability 48% → 17% for the home side).
- Shot 45.1% eFG vs a 54.2% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors | 10–0 | Q1 7:18 | 48% → 17% |
| Toronto Raptors | 10–0 | Q3 8:15 | 28% → 3% |
| Toronto Raptors | 10–0 | Q4 6:02 | 1% → 0% |