Golden State Warriors 98, Phoenix Suns 99
NBA · 2025-12-18 · Winner: Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns defeated Golden State Warriors 99–98 on 2025-12-18 in NBA play, a 1-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 2:28 swung win probability 41% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Golden State Warriors lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors | 29 | 24 | 18 | 27 | 98 |
| Phoenix Suns | 26 | 20 | 24 | 29 | 99 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 2:28 swung win probability 41% → 100%.
Why Golden State Warriors lost
- Lost Q3 18-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q3 7:26 (win probability 6% → 45% for the home side).
- Shot 46.1% eFG vs a 54.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 20-15.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors | 8–0 | Q1 2:56 | 68% → 39% |
| Golden State Warriors | 10–0 | Q3 10:33 | 38% → 6% |
| Phoenix Suns | 12–0 | Q3 7:26 | 6% → 45% |
| Phoenix Suns | 9–0 | Q4 11:21 | 28% → 78% |
| Phoenix Suns | 9–0 | Q4 7:36 | 46% → 96% |
| Phoenix Suns | 8–0 | Q4 2:28 | 41% → 100% |