Dallas Mavericks 102, Miami Heat 106
NBA · 2025-11-24 · Winner: Miami Heat
Miami Heat defeated Dallas Mavericks 106–102 on 2025-11-24 in NBA play, a 4-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:14 swung win probability 38% → 68%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Dallas Mavericks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Mavericks | 19 | 25 | 28 | 30 | 102 |
| Miami Heat | 20 | 32 | 28 | 26 | 106 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:14 swung win probability 38% → 68%.
Why Dallas Mavericks lost
- Lost Q2 25-32 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q1 3:15 (win probability 54% → 82% for the home side).
- Shot 45.4% eFG vs a 52.7% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 9–0 | Q1 3:15 | 54% → 82% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 8–0 | Q2 11:22 | 71% → 42% |
| Miami Heat | 8–0 | Q2 8:14 | 38% → 68% |
| Miami Heat | 8–0 | Q2 4:48 | 57% → 85% |