Milwaukee Bucks 100, Toronto Raptors 128
NBA · 2025-11-04 · Winner: Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors defeated Milwaukee Bucks 128–100 on 2025-11-04 in NBA play, a 28-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q1 4:59 swung win probability 84% → 58%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Milwaukee Bucks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Bucks | 29 | 25 | 26 | 20 | 100 |
| Toronto Raptors | 39 | 34 | 32 | 23 | 128 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q1 4:59 swung win probability 84% → 58%.
Why Milwaukee Bucks lost
- Lost Q1 29-39 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 2:58 (win probability 87% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 49.4% eFG vs a 56.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 15-10.
- Outscored 23-15 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors | 8–0 | Q1 8:01 | 55% → 79% |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 9–0 | Q1 4:59 | 84% → 58% |
| Toronto Raptors | 8–0 | Q1 0:00 | 64% → 87% |
| Toronto Raptors | 10–0 | Q2 2:58 | 87% → 99% |
| Toronto Raptors | 8–0 | Q3 3:22 | 97% → 100% |
| Toronto Raptors | 9–0 | Q4 4:13 | 100% → 100% |