Miami Heat 101, San Antonio Spurs 107
NBA · 2025-10-30 · Winner: San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs defeated Miami Heat 107–101 on 2025-10-30 in NBA play, a 6-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 7:25 swung win probability 95% → 45%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Miami Heat lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 31 | 27 | 14 | 29 | 101 |
| San Antonio Spurs | 33 | 26 | 28 | 20 | 107 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 7:25 swung win probability 95% → 45%.
Why Miami Heat lost
- Lost Q3 14-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q3 0:30 (win probability 66% → 100% for the home side).
- Outscored 17-8 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 8–0 | Q1 6:58 | 71% → 44% |
| Miami Heat | 9–0 | Q1 2:11 | 68% → 35% |
| San Antonio Spurs | 10–0 | Q1 0:44 | 35% → 71% |
| San Antonio Spurs | 10–0 | Q3 7:51 | 51% → 90% |
| San Antonio Spurs | 13–0 | Q3 0:30 | 66% → 100% |
| Miami Heat | 8–0 | Q4 9:19 | 100% → 92% |
| Miami Heat | 9–0 | Q4 7:25 | 95% → 45% |