Golden State Warriors 110, Milwaukee Bucks 120
NBA · 2025-10-30 · Winner: Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks defeated Golden State Warriors 120–110 on 2025-10-30 in NBA play, a 10-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q3 1:21 swung win probability 33% → 92%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Golden State Warriors lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors | 25 | 33 | 26 | 26 | 110 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 34 | 26 | 27 | 33 | 120 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q3 1:21 swung win probability 33% → 92%.
Why Golden State Warriors lost
- Lost Q1 25-34 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q3 1:21 (win probability 33% → 92% for the home side).
- Shot 50.0% eFG vs a 54.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 22-16.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors | 8–0 | Q1 8:30 | 68% → 41% |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 8–0 | Q1 5:07 | 54% → 80% |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 10–0 | Q1 0:03 | 54% → 85% |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 8–0 | Q2 6:53 | 72% → 92% |
| Golden State Warriors | 8–0 | Q2 4:53 | 92% → 72% |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 12–0 | Q3 1:21 | 33% → 92% |