Miami Heat 121, Orlando Magic 125
NBA · 2025-10-22 · Winner: Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic defeated Miami Heat 125–121 on 2025-10-22 in NBA play, a 4-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:48 swung win probability 41% → 82%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Miami Heat lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 39 | 26 | 26 | 30 | 121 |
| Orlando Magic | 38 | 31 | 21 | 35 | 125 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:48 swung win probability 41% → 82%.
Why Miami Heat lost
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q1 0:41 (win probability 18% → 53% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 19-15.
- Outscored 29-21 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 10–0 | Q1 10:30 | 65% → 32% |
| Miami Heat | 10–0 | Q1 2:48 | 54% → 20% |
| Orlando Magic | 11–0 | Q1 0:41 | 18% → 53% |
| Orlando Magic | 11–0 | Q2 6:48 | 41% → 82% |